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Cake day: June 18th, 2023

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  • I think a LOT of people require external validation to feel good about themselves. Its why we see places like Facebook and Reddit fracture into echo chambers, and why humans separate themselves into social groups based on similarities. Groups then can outcast the “others” which creates a social floor. As long as you’re within Group, you know you aren’t as bad as those Others over there. At the same time, the people within Group build each other uo and reinforce their common behaviors. Dissimilar behaviors within the group leads to either note fracturing within the group, or leads to people changing their behaviors and homogenizing.

    When I was last in a band, I noticed the pattern. The 3 of us would each write things on our own that sounded unique, like our individual selves. When we brought the pieces together, or wrote songs together, the result was bland and generic stuff. All of our respective rough edges that made us interesting were rubbed smooth to make room for each other. And the songs that seemed to do the best with crowds were the smoothest ones (not that we had a ton of success- we played a handful of gigs before the pandemic hit and they ended up moving away).

    I’ve noticed a lot lately that introverts in media are often portrayed as broken. Evangelion is one of my favorite anime, but its guilty of this. Shinji is often used in memes and internet culture to represent an introvert, but pretty much every scene where we see him alone he is miserable and craving some external validation. When I’m alone I usually just feel at peace.

    I think a lot of people fear themselves, their own thoughts. They consider “being in your own head” a bad thing, like your own thoughts are scary.

    My older sister is autistic and we were recently talking about traveling. She said that she prefers to travel alone so she can just wander around a new city at her own pace without having to consider the needs of her husband or children or friends kr anyone else, and I related to that a lot. I may also be autistic- I’m waiting for my assessment results lol.


  • So what has changed? Do you think Biden woukd have stopped “his proxy war” in Ukraine in order to go and fuck things up on Iran?

    China has been doing fantastically well, continuing to influence Africa and Europe despite what you think the US’s intentions in Syria may have been, and China also seems to be benefitting pretty well from what is going on in Iran too. Russia does not have the economy to compete with the US or China. China has been benefiting from the NATO division too, the undermining of the US dollar, and the high oil prices have driven the world to invest even more strongly in solar panels and electrical infrastructure, which China is by far the leading supplier of.

    The simple fact that makes Iran different from Ukraine or Syria is that ear with Iran is bad for the US and its allies. Biden understood that.

    The US has books on going to war with literally every country, because its an imperial power with employees whose literal job it is to make sure they are prepared in every scenario. They purposefully use code names and try to obscure the plans that are against countries they are currently allied with. That absolutely does not mean it is realistic to predict that anyone who would have been elected would go to war with every single country. That document was written in 2016: why didn’t Trump go to war in his first term? Why didn’t Biden do anything in his term? Suggesting Biden would have changed without material changes to the global economy, the middle east, or within Iran, is a silly oversimplification just trying to hate on Biden for no reason. Which is even more silly considering there are very real reasons to hate on Biden. I find it odd you haven’t even mentioned Yemen, which is what I was referring to when I called him a war criminal.


  • Biden had 4 years to make that happen if he wanted, yet at every chance he turned towards economic and political pressure instead of military pressure with Iran. I really do not understand why you think that would have somehow changed in a hypothetical second term.

    Trump tried to start a war with Iran in his first term, failed and then forced it in his second term and is failing miserably in every way possible.

    It is possible that Biden may have personally wanted to go to war with Iran. I don’t know him personally. But every move he made aa President and as VP signaled he did not want to. Regardless of his personal motivations, he probably understood what Trump did not: the US has never had the ability to force the Straight of Hormuz open, Iran has the ability to close it, and the closure would have disastrous economic consequences for the US and its allies.

    Its funny you mention Ukraine out of nowhere because the one country which HAS benefitted from all this is Russia. Sure, they supported Iran, but suddenly there are tensions within NATO and the world is more desperate for natural gas.


  • US-Iranian Relations under Biden were complicated and nuanced.

    Biden was VPnundee the Obama administration who famously came close to finalizing the “nuclear deal” with Iran, under which they would cooperate with UN inspectors and be allowed to enrich unraniun for energy, sanctions woukd have been eased, relations would have been normalized. That is NOT to say everything would have been sunshine and rainbows in the Middle East. Khomeini was still an oppressive dictator, US inperalism would still continue, oil would be even cheaper and continuing to destroy the planet, and the region would still have plenty of tensions from religious, ethnic, and political divides. But it would have been one of the biggest steps towards peace and stability since since the Ottoman empire collapsed.

    Trump tore it up in his first term and illegally assassinated an Iranian general in early 2020. Which was quickly forgotten about in the news cycle because of Australia wildfires and then Covid.

    Biden tries to restore that deal, but it waa made much more difficult because Iran (and most of the world) learned they could not trust the US long-term.

    Biden was a war criminal who continued a lot of war crimes in the middle east from his predecessors, but to suggest he would have provoked or forced an issue with Iran similar to what Trump is doing is just asinine “both sides”-ing. Biden also LISTENED to his military experts who would have told him what a dumb idea this was.


  • A while ago I read an article written by a college student going to school to create comic books. Unfortunately I can’t find it now.

    They said that in the classes about drawing, those professors said it was perfectly fine to use AI to help with writing your stories and dialogue, but warned how incredibly dangerous it can be to use even as inspiration to draw.

    Their writing professors, on the other hand, told them it was perfectly fine to use AI to help with their illustrations, but that it was incredibly dangerous to use to even generate outlines or rough drafts when it came to writing.

    AI is only ever good enough when you don’t know better.



  • I remember when I was a child and I first got experience with computers. I saw how file systems worked and thought to myself “wow I should structure my own mind this way so I can try to think as well as a computer can!”. I may have autism.

    AI is the exact opposite. Taking something beautiful, clear, clean, organized, efficient, definitive. And inserting all the messy, sloppy, uncertain, unreproducible aspect of our bloody electric meat brains. It’s a move in the opposite direction of where I think humanity should be going.




  • I’m comparing gender identity to other forms of protected identity: race, ethnicity, sexual orientation, etc.

    I’m not making any judgements about any group being superior or inferior to another. You’re the one doing that. Being “physically imposing” is subjective and variable. There is significant overlap between the largest women and smallest men, and that’s just staying withing the confines of binary cis people. Not to mention… Guns exist. Cars themselves are weapons far more dangerous than any human regardless of gender.

    Building a just society means we need to leave behind our biases and fears. To judge individuals not on the circumstances of their birth but the content of their character. That means discarding the luxury of pre-judging people, not just when it is easy, but also when it is hard.



  • It’s shocking to me how so many people I know who are woke as fuck and quick to shout down any bigotry are so quick to drop all of their principles to hate men.

    Segregation never works, and only serves to foster fear, hatred, and division within society You cannot define what a “woman” is in a way that excluded trans-women without also excluding some cis-women with them Your gender identity is what you say it is. Others should do their best to remember any pronouns or name changes Crime is too complicated and nuanced to be reduced to statistics, which are often used by racists and bigots to justify racist and bigoted policies It’s racist to cross to the other side of the street when a person of color comes walking towards you on the side you currently are on. It’s up to you to “Men” are evil monsters who cannot be trusted and need to be locked away

    It baffles me how so many people can have all of these ideas, including the last one, and not see the cognitive dissonance there. It’s succumbing to fear and hatred, the same methods of divisive propaganda that has harmed every other group.






  • For those who don’t want to read several pages of unnecessary text telling you what you probably already know:

    The math, while pretty involved, may tell a straightforward story (if you’re interested in the details of our analysis, see the Appendix). OpenAI has contracted 900K memory wafers per month from Samsung and SK Hynix. Partner commentary seems to indicate that’s a monthly number, so that represents 10.8 million wafers over 12 months. In terms of demand, a fully built-out 10GW Stargate cluster would require ~3 million GB200 Bianca Boards. Each board requires ~50% of a memory wafer in total; split between the HBM3e stacks embedded into its two B200 GPU (~30%) and its 480 GB of LPDDR5X system memory (~20%). That puts total wafer demand for the entire cluster at ~3 million wafers.

    Therefore, according to our best estimates, OpenAI likely needs less than 30% of the 10.8 million wafers it’s planning to buy

    So this is just putting some numbers to what a lot of people already guessed. The AI companies are not just buying a ton of RAM to build out their data centers. They aren’t buying enough other components to even use that RAM. They’re buying it so that no one else can.